Posts Tagged ‘global warming’

King Canute was probably not a member of the @TheGreenParty

September 26, 2013

Given that the planet is warming and the seas are rising; given that man’s activities are hastening the process; given that our politician’s are listening and taking action to reduce the UK’s impact.

Given these, as facts; Isn’t it time that the Cassandra’s stopped running around crying for something to be done and actually thought about doing something.

I don’t mean demanding an end to the burning of fossil fuels, where the increased use by China has swamped any effect of the reductions being attempted in the West (certainly sidelined UK’s efforts, at great cost to my fuel bill this Winter).

I mean that they should do what Canute did.

He demanded that his ear-aches faced the inevitable and moved his throne farther up the beach, beyond the reach of the rising water.

if The Eco-friendlies want to do something useful, they should encourage governments to plan for the effects of Global Warming.

Move new developments inland.

Consider building design that can withstand the predicted severe weather.

Consider what crops will need to be grown to feed the populace. Land at sea level will be flooded but the moors may become more suitable for farming.

I know it’s easier to pontificate about other people’s indolence but, surely, there must be some members of the Eco tribes, who actually care about the people, who are helpless to take action and who will bear the brunt of the loss of habitat, shelter and food, which the Cassandra’s claim we are doomed to.

 

@theGreenParty Global Warming need not lead to rising sea-levels

April 27, 2012

I took this from the Fullermoney Newsletter. I find these reports trustworthy, as they do not have a political agenda (although many are presumably on the extreme right). These people rely on truth in order to make money from their investments. Similar to professional Horse racing fans, who base their selections on their own evaluation of a horse’s form and any reliable sources that they can exploit.

This February scientists at the University of Colorado, Boulder did just that. Using data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites, the team began a more comprehensive global inventory of melting glaciers from 2003 to 2010. GRACE measures tiny changes in the Earth’s gravitational pull and gravity is related to mass. When glaciers lose ice, their gravitational pull weakens. The two satellites fly at 500km (310.7 miles), so they can detect this loss even for the hard-to-reach, high-altitude glaciers around the globe. The scientists published their findings in the February 8, 2012 issue of Nature, with global images showing the annual changes in ice thickness (in centimeters).

Shifting to other areas, the total global ice mass lost from Greenland, Antarctica and Earth’s glaciers and ice caps was about 4.3 trillion tons (1,000 cubic miles), enough to add 0.5 inches (12 millimeters) to global sea level. That’s enough ice to cover the United States 1.5 feet (0.5 meters) deep. A quarter of the average annual ice loss came from glaciers and ice caps outside of Greenland and Antarctica while ice loss from Greenland and Antarctica averaged 385 billion tons (100 cubic miles) a year.

However, this is 30% less than scientists had previously thought. Greenland and Antarctica are melting as much as experts expected, but the rest of the world was a surprise. The biggest discrepancy was in Asia.

The 2012 study showed the Himalayas and nearby peaks have lost almost no ice during the past 10 years. The scientists are careful to point out that lower-altitude glaciers in the Asian mountain ranges – sometimes dubbed the “third pole” – are definitely melting. Satellite images and reports confirm this. However, over the study period from 2003-10 enough ice was added to higher and more northern peaks to compensate.   My view – The implications of this concluding paragraph above, I concur, are that as gradually rising global temperatures cause lower glaciers in the Himalayas to retreat, some of the additional moisture released is being deposited in the colder upper regions.

@TheGreenParty latest research on Glacier melt (fullermoney)

March 19, 2012

The moneymen keep a close eye on environmental issues as it affects their ability to make money. I trust their views much more than those of people such as F.o.E.

These people aren’t interested in Cassandra’s, only expert opinion and facts.

The latest report that they’ve picked up on is:

Critics [Ed: of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change] noted that it was impossible to make broad generalizations since only 10 of the 54,000 glaciers in the region have been studied regularly. The conference noted this problem and encouraged more studies.

 This February scientists at the University of Colorado, Boulder did just that. Using data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites, the team began a more comprehensive global inventory of melting glaciers from 2003 to 2010. GRACE measures tiny changes in the Earth’s gravitational pull and gravity is related to mass. When glaciers lose ice, their gravitational pull weakens. The two satellites fly at 500km (310.7 miles), so they can detect this loss even for the hard-to-reach, high-altitude glaciers around the globe. The scientists published their findings in the February 8, 2012 issue of Nature, with global images showing the annual changes in ice thickness (in centimeters).

Shifting to other areas, the total global ice mass lost from Greenland, Antarctica and Earth’s glaciers and ice caps was about 4.3 trillion tons (1,000 cubic miles), enough to add 0.5 inches (12 millimeters) to global sea level. That’s enough ice to cover the United States 1.5 feet (0.5 meters) deep. A quarter of the average annual ice loss came from glaciers and ice caps outside of Greenland and Antarctica while ice loss from Greenland and Antarctica averaged 385 billion tons (100 cubic miles) a year.

However, this is 30% less than scientists had previously thought. Greenland and Antarctica are melting as much as experts expected, but the rest of the world was a surprise. The biggest discrepancy was in Asia.

The 2012 study showed the Himalayas and nearby peaks have lost almost no ice during the past 10 years. The scientists are careful to point out that lower-altitude glaciers in the Asian mountain ranges – sometimes dubbed the “third pole” – are definitely melting. Satellite images and reports confirm this. However, over the study period from 2003-10 enough ice was added to higher and more northern peaks to compensate.  

My (Fullermoney) view – The implications of this concluding paragraph above, I concur, are that as gradually rising global temperatures cause lower glaciers in the Himalayas to retreat, some of the additional moisture released is being deposited in the colder upper regions.

@occupy @theGreenparty Fracking may transform next decade

February 9, 2012

This piece from Fullermoney raises some interesting points for debate.

Basically it’s about the U.S.A. becoming energy self-reliant.

The first aspect is that there would be no need for them to worry about the Middle East or S.American oil supplies.

Second point is that there are probably huge fracking fields around the Globe.

We in Britain could be kept afloat by our resources, as could many other countries.

Would Argentina be so hot and bothered about The Falklands, if they found reserves in their vast hinterland?

A really good one was the report, some time back, that Israel has undersea resources equivalent to Saudi Arabia’s oil fields and that’s 60% of the World’s known resources. This could heighten tensions in The Middle East, as the price of oil would plummet worldwide.

This drop in the price of oil would be more significant as the awakening giant of China is busily pursuing Fracking possibilities in its own territories and would need less imported oil (the main reason for recent fuel price rises)

It could well mean the end of the Global warming fanatics. My personal view is the Anthropocentric Global Warming Scare grew out of a political necessity to conserve our supplies of fossil fuel (this scare did not exist until the Early 90’s, when we stopped teaching about The Energy Crisis in schools and Green Issues jumped into the Science syllabus).

Suddenly, there was a lot of financial support for these groups. This may now dry up for those supporting Carbon Footprint preaching.

The U.S. is the closest it has been in almost 20 years to achieving energy self-sufficiency, a goal the nation has been pursuing since the 1973 Arab oil embargo triggered a recession and led to lines at gasoline stations.

Domestic oil output is the highest in eight years. The U.S. is producing so much natural gas that, where the government warned four years ago of a critical need to boost imports, it now may approve an export terminal. Methanex Corp., the world’s biggest methanol maker, said it will dismantle a factory in Chile and reassemble it in Louisiana to take advantage of low natural gas prices. And higher mileage standards and federally mandated ethanol use, along with slow economic growth, have curbed demand.

The result: The U.S. has reversed a two-decade-long decline in energy independence, increasing the proportion of demand met from domestic sources over the last six years to an estimated 81 percent through the first 10 months of 2011, according to data compiled by Bloomberg from the U.S. Department of Energy. That would be the highest level since 1992.

“For 40 years, only politicians and the occasional author in Popular Mechanics magazine talked about achieving energy independence,” said Adam Sieminski, who has been nominated by President Barack Obama to head the U.S. Energy Information Administration. “Now it doesn’t seem such an outlandish idea.”

The transformation, which could see the country become the world’s top energy producer by 2020, has implications for the economy and national security — boosting household incomes, jobs and government revenue; cutting the trade deficit; enhancing manufacturers’ competitiveness; and allowing greater flexibility in dealing with unrest in the Middle East.

My view – Once George P Mitchell pioneered the fracking method for extracting shale gas at a very commercial rate in the late 1990s, the seemingly unobtainable ‘holy grail’ of energy independence for the USA became a practical possibility. When this game-changing technology was adapted for the successful extraction of shale oil, the previously unthinkable prospect of the USA as the world’s largest producer of energy became a probably for the next decade.

This will require none of the expensive subsidies thrown at ethanol and various inefficient renewable technologies. The USA is blessed with the world’s largest known reserves of shale oil and the second largest known reserves of shale gas. Moreover, American innovation created the means for extracting this vital resource – a technological breakthrough that other countries are now scrambling to achieve.

two more bullets for the anthropogenic Global Warming alarmists

September 20, 2011

Two pieces of  research that the Al Gore pseudo-scientists (a.k.a. climatologists) will want to suppress.

First concerns polar volcanoes:  (lifted straight from Browning Newsletter on Climate: Shifting into Autumn)

Alaska’s Mt. Redoubt and Russia’s Sarychev Peak in 2009, and, during this year, Iceland’s Grímsvötn and Chile’s Puyehue-Cordón Caulle have all erupted.

Another volcano, Mt. Sheveluch on Russia’s Kamchatka Pennisula, may have joined these ranks. The volcano is currently erupting 8.6 km (5.3 miles) high. This is high enough that it is forcing airlines to reroute their circumpolar flights, particularly those to Japan and Northern China. It has been erupting all month and, off and on, all year. The mountain is remote and hard to observe so some of the eruptions may have been high enough to enter the stratosphere. At a minimum, the debris is drifting down wind and raining out over North America.

If eruptions are big enough for their columns to enter the stratosphere, the debris can linger for years. This has multiple effects on the weather including:

o The ash and chemicals block out incoming sunlight, cooling the air.

o Water collects around the aerosols (solid and liquid particles) forming clouds, which also block incoming sunlight.

o When the clouds finally precipitate out, the rains and snows are unusually heavy.

o The cooler air changes air pressure which changes wind patterns.

In the case of volcanoes near the Arctic and Antarctic, this means the changed air pressure weakens the circumpolar winds. These are winds that circle around the poles, trapping most of the frigid air over the Arctic or Antarctic. If the winds are weak, these frozen air masses can escape. We saw this last winter when the Arctic air masses escaped south and buried 48 of the 50 states in snow, brought European Christmas travel to a standstill and inundated Asia.

We are currently seeing this in the Southern Hemisphere. The Chilean government declared an official “catastrophe” after heavy snows that the nation’s Interior minister called a “white earthquake.” The nation’s capital had rare snow and southern regions have as much as 9 feet (2.7 meters). South Africa, which usually receives a dusting about once or twice a year, has been hit with storms that have dumped up to 60 cm (2 feet) in some areas. New Zealand was hit by a freak winter storm with heavy snow and bitterly cold weather two weeks ago, snowing on Wellington for the first time in decades.

This is a warning for the Northern Hemisphere. In summertime, the polar air masses are trapped north. Europe, Asia and North America have been more affected by balmy tropics. As fall evolves, the polar air masses will spread south, bringing a cold wet harvest season, particularly for Europe, China and the US. This will be followed by a frozen winter.

The second from http://opinion.financialpost.com/2011/08/26/lawrence-solomon-science-now-settled/

63 CERN scientists from 17 European and American institutes have done what global warming doomsayers said could never be done — demonstrate that cosmic rays promote the formation of molecules that in Earth’s atmosphere can grow and seed clouds, the cloudier and thus cooler it will be. Because the sun’s magnetic field controls how many cosmic rays reach Earth’s atmosphere (the stronger the sun’s magnetic field, the more it shields Earth from incoming cosmic rays from space), the sun determines the temperature on Earth.

Basically both of these items point up that clouds have a significantly greater effect on Global climate than Greenhouse gases, whether they are produced by ungulates, termites or us nasty fossil fuel burners.

In both cases rain droplets form on dust particles from volcanoes , or ions caused by cosmic rays.

These rain droplets form clouds, which act as a blanket preventing sunlight from reaching the Earth’s surface.

Obviously the clouds also keep us warm at night, which is why cloudy Winter nights are less frosty but the reflection of the Sun’s heat is more significant than the loss of the Earth’s radiated heat.

Despite arguments to the contrary, it supports the observation that the absence of contrails, after 9/11 left the air above America warmer (http://www.celsias.com/article/9-11-contrail-climate-effects-questioned/).

 

Greenland was Green in Leif Erikson’s time

September 16, 2011
letter to john.ingham@express.co.uk. He’s ex-wiganer (hence reference to Haigh Hall), does the Green bit in the Express (and occasionally the war bits, it seems)
 
Whilst I understand that it is accepted, by many, that Global Warming is a crime committed by mankind, I think you need to revise your opening comments on Erik the Red and your inclusion of the Aral Sea in the examples of Global Warming.
As I understand it, Erik The Red spoke the truth and not only was a Viking colony settled in Greenland but they farmed the land for a couple of centuries before the next mini-Ice Age, from which we are now emerging.
They also had an Inuit population as neighbours.
The Aral Sea’s dilemma was, as I’m sure you must know, caused by Communist Russia diverting its water supply to upstream developments.
I found the note on Red Admiral’s of interest, having come across one in the Haigh Hall walled Garden. I hadn’t seen one, since I was a kid in Liverpool and I expect that its appearance may be connected with hurricanes moving up the East coast of America, instead of bashing into the Bay of Mexico, as they usually do.

Deal with it

March 23, 2011

Oh Dear! Hawaii’s shores are knee deep in plastic refuse. Deal with it. Collect it up and re-cycle it. Stop moaning at me!

Oh Dear! Global Warming means sea levels will rise, London will be flooded. Deal with it.  Why, in this video conference age, do we need all head Offices in London? Move. Move to Higher Ground. Stop moaning at me!

Oh Dear! Our European overlords are making us do nasty things to the electorate. Deal with it.  Leave the European Union and stop Lying to me.

Oh Dear! Nasty loggers are chopping down the rain forest. Deal with it.  My furniture is all chipboard made from compressed, sustainable pine shavings. I can’t afford Teak and Mahogany furniture. Stop blaming me!

Whales etc. are being driven to extinction. Deal with it. I’m not (as far as I know) eating whalemeat and I’m not declaring war on Iceland, Norway or Japan. Stop whinging at me!

Deal with it. Do something besides moan at me or beg me for money. Try taking positive action. All I can do is write a blog and moan back.

protect the predators

October 25, 2010

I worry about the polar bears. Their habitat is shrinking, apparently, and they’re having to move back on land, again, and live as their Grizzly bear ancestors did.

This probably means that we’ll hear more stories of Norwegians, Russians and North Americans being attacked by these ferocious but indolent predators. They probably can’t chase down caribou, as their kissing cousins, the Grizzly can, and will attack slower prey, such as Humans.

 The reference to kissing cousins is because one case of cross-breeding has already been documented, which may well have been a consequence of this threatened diaspora. Apparently the cross was like a bigger, stronger Grizzly. It was not made clear whether, or not, this cross-breed was fertile or a mule; so we don’t know whether, or not, we’ll be seeing a new species, which we will have to worry about protecting.

The good news is that Tigers are in no danger of becoming extinct, because, whilst they might be dying out in India (where they occasionally feed on the peasants, who, unfortunately, have little sympathy for the tiger’s plight), their population is booming in California, which now has the biggest proportion of The World’s (I have to keep remembering to Capitalise the definite article, when it is attached to a proper noun) total population of Tigers.

MP’s could drown

December 31, 2009

If Global Warming is an undoubted fact and, as such, is embedded in all relevant Government policy decisions, how soon can we expect to see Parliament, Whitehall and Government archives moved to higher ground.
I suggest somewhere nearer the centre of the country.

Unfortunately, the latest predictions give a mere one metre rise over the next Century (http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/01/090108101629.htm) and this would only seriously affect the area’s east of the Blackwall tunnel (http://flood.firetree.net/).

However, MP’s might like to consider the effect of a breech getting into the Tube train tunnels. Besides potential flooding of a vital service, there’s also all the archive and Civil Defence storage facilities to consider. Engineers might also like to do an assessment of the effect on surface structures, as the whole of London is sitting in an Artesian basin, with problems for supplies of drinking water and land movement.

Still I suppose the Government’s on top of all that.

Global Warming

August 21, 2009

Global Warming

First misconception, Global Warming has nothing to do with the depletion of the Ozone layer. Except to the extent that the depletion of the Ozone layer is caused by CFC’s (any organic gas with Chlorine or Fluorine in it). These are gases and, as with all other gases, including Oxygen and Water Vapour they contribut to Global Warming.

Second misconception. It has not been proven that the present Global Warming is a direct consequence of my driving a car.

There is proof that the Earth is getting warmer

There is proof that the Carbon Dioxide produced by my car is a Greenhouse gas.

These are not cause and effect.

The Earth has cycles of warming and cooling: The Romans grew grapes in England, when it had a Mediterranean Climate. The Dark Ages were caused by people in Europe having to survive a long period of cold, wet climate, which, when it ended, saw the birth of the Renaissance. In the 17th Century Fairs were held on the frozen River Thames, where food was cooked over open fires.

Mars is, at the moment, undergoing Global Warming, without any loony motorists creating the right conditions.

On a clear night in Winter, we get frosts, because clouds are a really effective at keeping in heat. If we covered the Oceans to stop evaporation, we could considerably reduce this particular Greenhouse gas.

CO2 and H2O are triatomic gases and can slow down the rate of loss of radiated heat more than O2 and N2. CH4 (methane) produced by decaying vegetation in ungulates, termites and drowned forests is (5 atoms in the molecule) is a much more potent Greenhouse gas. This is why “we” agreed, in the Kyoto agreement, to reduce our herds of Sheep and Cattle (serendipity = BSE and Foot & Mouth).

Of course Termites produce 3x as much Greenhouse Gases as the whole of mankind, perhaps we should wipe them out. (I don’t have to back up my facts, this is a whingey book and besides the facts are out there in the Science Journals).

The Stefan Boltzmann Law says that Radiated energy is proportional to the Fourth power of the absolute temperature of a hot body ( E = sT4 ). The average temperature of the Earth is 200C or 293K. If the temperature increased by 10C (temp. is 1.003 times higher), the excess heat would be radiated into Space (294/293)4 times faster (= 1.014 times faster). The figures remind us that the hotter something is the faster it tries to cool. I.e. it is difficult for us to actually heat up the planet.

I could go on with other bits and bobs, such as the effects of volcanoes, but why is there a panic on Global Warming.

People have come up with mechanisms ( to satisfy their research appropriation) to suggest that our weather could flip from “too hot”, to “too cold” or to “burny-burny”. It could happen but the effect of Man is too puny to make him the likely trigger.

So why are so many World leaders appearing to be concerned?

The more probable answer lies with the other two big agenda items of the 60’s and 70’s.

Over-population and The Energy Crisis. We can ignore Over-population as too hot a political potato (compulsory sterilization didn’t work in China and “transistor radios for a Snip” didn’t work in India).


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